← Wallets
−$118Atlanta Dream · avg 66¢ → 66¢ · $15.7k−$162Under · avg 52¢ → 46¢ · $1,414+$7No · avg 74¢ → 74¢ · $806+$29Yes · avg 64¢ → 66¢ · $690 · 2 proven with, 0 against+$5Yes · avg 74¢ → 74¢ · $686+$37No · avg 52¢ → 58¢ · $361−$20Yes · avg 85¢ → 80¢ · $327+$5Yes · avg 94.9¢ → 97¢ · $235
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 8. The prices it paid implied about 2.9 wins, so it did +14.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Without its single best bet: +4.9 pts. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
+14.1 pts
Called / graded
4/8
Expected from price
2.9
Flagged volume
$1.37M
Sample size8 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±16.3 pts std. error.
Graded P&L at their stakes
+$87k8 graded bets in the order they resolved · 4 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (Magic vs. Pistons at 21¢) and the edge is +4.9 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
0–20¢
0% vs 17% · n=1
20–40¢
75% vs 30% · n=4
40–60¢
33% vs 50% · n=3
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$940.9k
Last 30 days −$12.4k · $15.21M volume · 30,204 trades · since Apr 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$142.6k
Open P&L · 20 positions
−$90
Closed-position win rate
100%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
206d
1099 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 8 | 4 | 2.9 | +14.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream | LOW BUY Atlanta Dream @ 66¢ | $13.0k | pending |
| Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries | LOW BUY Las Vegas Aces @ 47¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
 Knicks vs. Cavaliers | MED BUY Cavaliers @ 56¢ | $105.0k 3.4× usual |
missed |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 36¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | MED BUY Timberwolves @ 33¢ | $43.8k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 39¢ | $29.2k | excluded |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 59¢ | $78.7k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | LOW BUY 76ers @ 58¢ | $39.6k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 34¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY 76ers @ 21¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | MED BUY Rockets @ 57¢ | $155.1k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | MED BUY Trail Blazers @ 33¢ | $37.6k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | MED BUY Trail Blazers @ 48¢ | $177.6k 5.8× usual |
excluded |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | MED BUY Rockets @ 67¢ | $236.4k 7.7× usual |
excluded |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | MED BUY Trail Blazers @ 17¢ | $49.7k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | MED BUY 76ers @ 13¢ | $30.8k | excluded |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Hawks @ 31¢ | $14.9k | called |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 17¢ | $17.3k | missed |
| Magic vs. Pistons | MED BUY Magic @ 21¢ | $31.5k | called |
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW BUY Magic @ 42¢ | $32.4k | called |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | MED BUY Warriors @ 33¢ | $28.5k | called |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 42¢ | $28.3k | excluded |
| Pelicans vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Pelicans @ 34¢ | $14.1k | missed |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | LOW BUY Celtics @ 65¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 52¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Bulls vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Bulls @ 11¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Clippers @ 55¢ | $43.3k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Clippers @ 53¢ | $30.7k | missed |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x0c154c190e293b7e5f8d453b5f690c4dc9599a45"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x0c154c190e293b7e5f8d453b5f690c4dc9599a45.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0c154c…