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Government shutdown on Saturday?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $13.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Government shutdown on Saturday?excluded$13.4k
SELL No @ 97.7¢ · 13,685 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet krokotuk took No (sell) for $13.4k at an average 97.7¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 97.7¢
- Implied odds
- 2.3%
- Size
- $13.4k
- Placed
- Feb 14, 03:45 EST
- Market close
- Feb 13, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- krokotuk
- Tx
- 0xd9edfec7…
This wallet's graded record
5/7-3.3 pts
expected 5.2 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $118.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $468.2k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $79.8k | excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $71.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $34.9k | excluded |