← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.3k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 10,337 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet LulaVaiPerder took No (sell) for $10.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $10.3k
- Placed
- Mar 31, 14:34 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- LulaVaiPerder
- Tx
- 0xd20ba0db…
This wallet's graded record
3/4-16.5 pts
expected 3.7 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $47.4k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 27¢ | $15.0k | missed |