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What this means. A wallet put $14.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 9% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.1k
BUY Yes @ 8.7¢ · 160,915 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet freemuney took Yes (buy) for $14.1k at an average 8.7¢. At that price the market implied a 9% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 9¢ means
9%chance the market gave
+1045American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 8.7¢
- Implied odds
- 8.7%
- As American odds
- +1045 no vig
- Size
- $14.1k
- Placed
- Apr 12, 06:56 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 05, 21:16 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- freemuney
- Tx
- 0xce977533…
This wallet's graded record
1/6+5.1 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $107.6k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $66.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $20.0k | called |