← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $50.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 9% chance. It won. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$50.9k
SELL No @ 91¢ · 55,883 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)2× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet 0x4488…e319 took No (sell) for $50.9k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 9% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $50.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 91¢
- Implied odds
- 9.0%
- Size
- $50.9k
- Placed
- Feb 04, 12:31 EST
- Market close
- Feb 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4488…e319
- Tx
- 0xcb6f2c90…
This wallet's graded record
11/12+12.9 pts
expected 9.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $83.5k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $103.1k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |