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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 39% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.1k
BUY Yes @ 39¢ · 25,562 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xf787…3c4e took Yes (buy) for $10.1k at an average 39¢. At that price the market implied a 39% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 39¢ means
39%chance the market gave
+154American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 39¢
- Implied odds
- 39.4%
- As American odds
- +154 no vig
- Size
- $10.1k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 19:11 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 20:07 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xf787…3c4e
- Tx
- 0xc55df263…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-45.7 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -39 ptsYes price · entry 39¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $37.5k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $43.5k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 97.7¢ | $2.57M 62.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 97¢ | $26.7k | missed |