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Netanyahu out by April 30?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $19.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Netanyahu out by April 30?excluded$19.8k
SELL No @ 98.9¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Valen9 took No (sell) for $19.8k at an average 98.9¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.9¢
- Implied odds
- 1.1%
- Size
- $19.8k
- Placed
- Apr 06, 12:04 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Valen9
- Tx
- 0xc51baf2c…
This wallet's graded record
4/8+0.3 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $42.1k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $65.4k 2.2× usual |
excluded |