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Netanyahu out by April 30?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $65.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Netanyahu out by April 30?excluded$65.4k
SELL No @ 99.3¢ · 65,823 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.2× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Trump2028 took No (sell) for $65.4k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $65.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.3¢
- Implied odds
- 0.7%
- Size
- $65.4k
- Placed
- Apr 23, 08:32 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Trump2028
- Tx
- 0x5b8dc36e…
This wallet's graded record
13/13+6.8 pts
expected 12.1 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -1 ptsNo price · entry 99.3¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $42.1k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $10.3k | excluded |