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onekey02

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$1.17M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$157.6k
Last 30 days +$37.8k · $13.49M volume · 9,375 trades · since Apr 29, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 418 closed
+$34.8k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
96%
418 closed
Wallet age · markets
178d
470 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $16.3k100% 23d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $36.9k100% 129d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $249.2k
5.5× usual
100% 143d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $199.8k
4.4× usual
100% 144d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k100% 154d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $44.8k100% 155d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $58.4k100% 162d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $41.9k100% 162d agoexcluded
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $69.9k100% 162d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by May 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ $65.3k100% 165d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by May 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ $45.2k99% 165d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by May 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ $25.2k99% 165d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by May 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ $106.2k
2.3× usual
99% 165d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by May 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ $11.6k99% 166d agoexcluded
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $106.8k
2.4× usual
100% 174d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $21.0k100% 178d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $24.9k100% 178d agoexcluded

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