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What this means. A wallet put $106.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$106.2k
BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ · 106,918 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.3× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet onekey02 took Yes (buy) for $106.2k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $106.2k+2
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−14749American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.3¢
- Implied odds
- 99.3%
- Size
- $106.2k
- Placed
- May 11, 23:08 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- onekey02
- Tx
- 0x6d10c5b3…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by May 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.2k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.6k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $328.4k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $69.9k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $138.0k | excluded |