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Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$505.7k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
ndb1 bought No at 93¢. The price gave that side a 93% chance. 543,761 shares, Oct 29, 16:42 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $505.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet ndb1 bought No for $505.7k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied 93% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)3.6× this wallet's usual betPolitics
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.5 ptsNo price · entry 93¢ · now 93.5¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | HIGH SELL No @ 93¢ | $481.8k 3.4× usual |
OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL No @ 92¢ | $92.9k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW SELL No @ 92¢ | $18.4k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL No @ 92¢ | $136.3k 2.5× usual |
OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL No @ 93¢ | $45.1k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL No @ 93¢ | $69.6k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |