milkteaboba

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$1,616No · avg 90¢ → 91.5¢ · $98.6k House favorite on November 2 wins the election?+$213Yes · avg 91¢ → 93.5¢ · $7,971 Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?+$1,707No · avg 52¢ → 96.6¢ · $3,666 Will Wayne Knight be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?+$628No · avg 75¢ → 94.8¢ · $3,009 Will Houston Texans advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?+$193No · avg 78¢ → 84¢ · $2,742 Will Denver Broncos advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?+$447No · avg 72¢ → 88¢ · $2,361 Will Real Madrid finish top 8 in UCL league phase?+$273Yes · avg 84¢ → 95.7¢ · $2,310 Will Sporting CP finish top 8 in UCL league phase?+$582No · avg 64¢ → 86¢ · $2,221

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$2.10M

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$805.0k

Last 30 days −$806.6k · $5.79M volume · 1,010 trades · since Sep 22, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$822.7k

Open P&L · 123 positions

+$12.4k

Closed-position win rate

53%

60 closed

Wallet age · markets

32d

171 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Patriots vs. Bears	HIGH BUY Bears @ 65¢	$304.1k 3.7× usual	65%	1d ago	excluded
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)	LOW BUY Bears @ 72¢	$15.5k	72%	1d ago	excluded
Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5	LOW BUY Under @ 59¢	$29.4k	59%	2d ago	excluded
Commanders vs. 49ers	HIGH BUY 49ers @ 89¢	$362.8k 4.4× usual	89%	4d ago	excluded
Commanders vs. 49ers	LOW SELL Commanders @ 23¢	$32.7k	77%	4d ago	excluded
Commanders vs. 49ers	MED BUY Commanders @ 22¢	$34.1k	22%	4d ago	missed
Cowboys vs. Packers	MED BUY Packers @ 94.2¢	$182.5k 2.2× usual	94%	5d ago	excluded
Cowboys vs. Packers	MED BUY Packers @ 59¢	$106.4k	59%	5d ago	excluded
Cardinals vs. Rams	HIGH BUY Rams @ 82¢	$524.1k 6.4× usual	82%	5d ago	excluded
Ravens vs. Falcons	LOW SELL Falcons @ 17¢	$13.3k	83%	12d ago	excluded
Ravens vs. Falcons	HIGH BUY Falcons @ 67¢	$440.6k 5.4× usual	67%	12d ago	excluded
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	LOW BUY Cowboys @ 81¢	$58.0k	81%	15d ago	excluded

Patriots vs. Bearsexcluded

BUY Bears @ 65¢$304.1k

HIGH milkteaboba · 1d ago

Spread: Patriots (-3.5)excluded

BUY Bears @ 72¢$15.5k

LOW milkteaboba · 1d ago

Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5excluded

BUY Under @ 59¢$29.4k

LOW milkteaboba · 2d ago

Commanders vs. 49ersexcluded

BUY 49ers @ 89¢$362.8k

HIGH milkteaboba · 4d ago

Commanders vs. 49ersexcluded

SELL Commanders @ 23¢$32.7k

LOW milkteaboba · 4d ago

Commanders vs. 49ersmissed

BUY Commanders @ 22¢$34.1k

MED milkteaboba · 4d ago

Cowboys vs. Packersexcluded

BUY Packers @ 94.2¢$182.5k

MED milkteaboba · 5d ago

Cowboys vs. Packersexcluded

BUY Packers @ 59¢$106.4k

MED milkteaboba · 5d ago

Cardinals vs. Ramsexcluded

BUY Rams @ 82¢$524.1k

HIGH milkteaboba · 5d ago

Ravens vs. Falconsexcluded

SELL Falcons @ 17¢$13.3k

LOW milkteaboba · 12d ago

Ravens vs. Falconsexcluded

BUY Falcons @ 67¢$440.6k

HIGH milkteaboba · 12d ago

Buccaneers vs. Cowboysexcluded

BUY Cowboys @ 81¢$58.0k

LOW milkteaboba · 15d ago

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