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What this means. A wallet put $11.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 72% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.1k
SELL No @ 28¢ · 40,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kOther
What happened
Wallet Kevindoto took No (sell) for $11.1k at an average 28¢. At that price the market implied a 72% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 28¢
- Implied odds
- 72.3%
- Size
- $11.1k
- Placed
- Aug 12, 12:30 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 12, 20:09 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Kevindoto
- Tx
- 0xc0fcd3bd…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-10.0 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +28 ptsNo price · entry 28¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $19.2k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 91.7¢ | $42.3k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $12.0k | missed | |
| LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $16.6k | missed | |
| LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $25.5k | missed | |
| LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $59.9k 3.4× usual |
missed |