WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $11.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 72% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?called
$11.1k
SELL No @ 28¢ · 40,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kOther

What happened

Wallet Kevindoto took No (sell) for $11.1k at an average 28¢. At that price the market implied a 72% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
28¢
Implied odds
72.3%
Size
$11.1k
Placed
Aug 12, 12:30 EDT
Market close
Aug 12, 20:09 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Kevindoto
Tx
0xc0fcd3bd…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-10.0 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +28 pts
No price · entry 28¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 28¢ · $11.1k WHALE $11.1K @ 28¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ $19.2k96% Car73d agocalled
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?LOW BUY Yes @ 91.7¢ $42.3k92% Dropper73d agocalled
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?LOW BUY No @ 79¢ $12.0k79% LebronJames676973d agomissed
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?LOW BUY No @ 83¢ $16.6k83% Kevindoto74d agomissed
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?LOW BUY No @ 82¢ $25.5k82% disputequant74d agomissed
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?LOW BUY No @ 87¢ $59.9k
3.4× usual
87% vtcchampion5274d agomissed