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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.0k
BUY No @ 79¢ · 15,218 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet LebronJames6769 took No (buy) for $12.0k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−367American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 78.6%
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- Aug 11, 19:10 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 12, 20:09 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- LebronJames6769
- Tx
- 0xa7bb586f…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-8.2 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -79 ptsNo price · entry 79¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $19.2k | called |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 91.7¢ | $42.3k | called |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | LOW SELL No @ 28¢ | $11.1k | called |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $16.6k | missed |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $25.5k | missed |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $59.9k 3.4× usual |
missed |