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−$2MOUZ · avg 61¢ → 60¢ · $154−$23Liquid · avg 13¢ → 9.8¢ · $80+$14Spirit · avg 53¢ → 65¢ · $78−$10MOUZ · avg 75¢ → 60¢ · $38
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did -86.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-86.6 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$482.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$122.6k
Last 30 days −$126.7k · $71.60M volume · 6,842,282 trades · since Jun 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$3.45M
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$21
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
118d
2883 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -86.6 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc69bd5…