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Predators vs. Capitalsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $11.4k on Predators, at a price that gave it a 39% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Predators vs. Capitalsmissed$11.4k
BUY Predators @ 39¢ · 29,342 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet BITCOINTO500K took Predators (buy) for $11.4k at an average 39¢. At that price the market implied a 39% chance for that side. The market resolved Capitals, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 39¢ means
39%chance the market gave
+156American odds
$1.00paid per share if Predators wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 39¢
- Implied odds
- 39.0%
- As American odds
- +156 no vig
- Size
- $11.4k
- Placed
- Feb 05, 17:54 EST
- Market close
- Feb 05, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Capitals
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BITCOINTO500K
- Tx
- 0xbffdcf25…
This wallet's graded record
4/12-23.5 pts
expected 6.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -39 ptsPredators price · entry 39¢ · resolved Capitals
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predators vs. Capitals | LOW SELL Capitals @ 99.9¢ | $131.9k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| Predators vs. Capitals | LOW BUY Predators @ 39¢ | $27.5k | missed |
| Predators vs. Capitals | MED BUY Capitals @ 60¢ | $91.4k | called |
| Predators vs. Capitals | MED BUY Predators @ 40¢ | $60.0k | missed |
| Predators vs. Capitals | LOW BUY Predators @ 40¢ | $31.1k | missed |
| Predators vs. Capitals | MED BUY Capitals @ 62¢ | $60.1k | called |