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Predators vs. Capitalsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $131.9k on not Capitals, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-18.4 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Predators vs. Capitalsexcluded$131.9k
SELL Capitals @ 99.9¢ · 132,000 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)4.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet YT-JuicySlots took Capitals (sell) for $131.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Capitals. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $131.9k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $131.9k
- Placed
- Feb 06, 00:33 EST
- Market close
- Feb 05, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Capitals
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- YT-JuicySlots
- Tx
- 0x524c00d0…
This wallet's graded record
6/20-18.4 pts
expected 9.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predators vs. Capitals | LOW BUY Predators @ 39¢ | $11.4k | missed |
| Predators vs. Capitals | LOW BUY Predators @ 39¢ | $27.5k | missed |
| Predators vs. Capitals | MED BUY Capitals @ 60¢ | $91.4k | called |
| Predators vs. Capitals | MED BUY Predators @ 40¢ | $60.0k | missed |
| Predators vs. Capitals | LOW BUY Predators @ 40¢ | $31.1k | missed |
| Predators vs. Capitals | MED BUY Capitals @ 62¢ | $60.1k | called |