← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $15.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.7k
SELL No @ 50¢ · 31,631 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet mohahaha took No (sell) for $15.7k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.3%
- Size
- $15.7k
- Placed
- Jun 03, 20:00 EDT
- Market close
- May 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- mohahaha
- Tx
- 0xbf228e0c…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-34.1 pts
expected 2.0 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 96.1¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 91.8¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 65¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 69¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 66¢ | $11.8k | excluded |