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Niseko

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$14.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$67.4k
Last 30 days −$17.1k · $7.30M volume · 24,656 trades · since Dec 16, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$414.8k
Open P&L · 34 positions
−$71.1k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
677d
2162 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 96.1¢ $14.4k4% 125d agoexcluded

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