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Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $19.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?excluded$19.2k
BUY No @ 62¢ · 30,900 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet BruceWayne77 took No (buy) for $19.2k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−163American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 62¢
- Implied odds
- 62.0%
- As American odds
- −163 no vig
- Size
- $19.2k
- Placed
- Jun 20, 16:31 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 20, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- BruceWayne77
- Tx
- 0xba344a4f…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+14.2 pts
expected 3.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -62 ptsNo price · entry 62¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $297.5k 7.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $32.3k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.8k 2.0× usual |
excluded |