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Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $32.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?excluded$32.3k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 32,353 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x09d2…26ae took Yes (sell) for $32.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $32.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $32.3k
- Placed
- Jun 20, 18:15 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 20, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x09d2…26ae
- Tx
- 0x8fe3f6e1…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+96.3 pts
expected 0.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $297.5k 7.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.8k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.7k | excluded |