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Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5excluded
What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on not Under, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5excluded$10.6k
SELL Under @ 50¢ · 21,209 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Woaifacai took Under (sell) for $10.6k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $10.6k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 19:39 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 27, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Woaifacai
- Tx
- 0xb8ea3e46…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+17.3 pts
expected 2.3 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -50 ptsUnder price · entry 50¢ · resolved Under · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 50¢ | $53.7k | excluded |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 49¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Over @ 56¢ | $38.1k | excluded |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Under @ 45¢ | $95.1k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 56¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 56¢ | $13.0k | excluded |