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What this means. A wallet put $14.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.8k
BUY No @ 93.9¢ · 15,732 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet gaven-willwin took No (buy) for $14.8k at an average 93.9¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1540American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 93.9¢
- Implied odds
- 93.9%
- Size
- $14.8k
- Placed
- May 20, 11:10 EDT
- Market close
- May 21, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gaven-willwin
- Tx
- 0xb8e4c0bf…
This wallet's graded record
2/3-14.6 pts
expected 2.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +6 ptsNo price · entry 93.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $75.6k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $22.2k | excluded |