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What this means. A wallet put $26.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.9k
SELL Yes @ 99.5¢ · 27,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet dwFqcd4Z took Yes (sell) for $26.9k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $26.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 0.5%
- Size
- $26.9k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 13:48 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 16, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- dwFqcd4Z
- Tx
- 0xb2b34ff5…
This wallet's graded record
4/14-23.7 pts
expected 7.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -1 ptsYes price · entry 99.5¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $150.8k 5.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $248.4k 8.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $256.9k 9.0× usual |
excluded |