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What this means. A wallet put $80.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-6.8 pts over 38 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$80.0k
BUY Yes @ 69¢ · 115,942 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)4× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet 0xf559…f462 took Yes (buy) for $80.0k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $80.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−223American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 69.0%
- Size
- $80.0k
- Placed
- Aug 23, 12:56 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xf559…f462
- Tx
- 0xaf3ac7e0…
This wallet's graded record
20/38-6.8 pts
expected 22.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 95.6¢ | $49.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 14¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 14¢ | $31.9k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $30.3k | excluded |