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What this means. A wallet put $43.0k on Under, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-13.9 pts over 32 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5excluded
$43.0k
BUY Under @ 49¢ · 86,810 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Under (buy) for $43.0k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $43.0k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+102American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
49¢
Implied odds
49.5%
As American odds
+102 no vig
Size
$43.0k
Placed
Jul 09, 16:06 EDT
Market close
Jul 09, 16:00 EDT
Result
Under
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ferrariChampions2026
Tx
0xae4d3316…
This wallet's graded record
15/32-13.9 pts
expected 19.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +51 pts
Under price · entry 49¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 49¢ · $43.0k WHALE $43.0K @ 49¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ $20.4k0% 0x7d6d…2654107d agoexcluded
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ $11.7k0% Zetalias107d agoexcluded
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Under @ 98.7¢ $46.1k99% Mind.The.Gap107d agoexcluded
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5LOW SELL Under @ 97.2¢ $16.8k3% 0xe337…4ad6107d agoexcluded
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Over @ 40¢ $10.3k40% us391107d agoexcluded
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5MED BUY Over @ 45¢ $40.1k45% 0xec44…c92b107d agoexcluded