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What this means. A wallet put $87.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$87.0k
BUY Yes @ 60¢ · 144,996 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1h2.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet RichieRicher took Yes (buy) for $87.0k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $87.0k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 60.0%
- As American odds
- −150 no vig
- Size
- $87.0k
- Placed
- Oct 24, 05:01 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 24, 07:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- RichieRicher
- Tx
- 0xac843602…
This wallet's graded record
9/14+7.2 pts
expected 8.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -60 ptsYes price · entry 60¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? | LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $1.00M | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? | MED BUY No @ 40¢ | $92.0k | called |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi's trade tape has no account id. A public nickname shows on the Kalshi flag when the social feed names that side.
| YES Aston Villa | $11.9k | 91¢ | 17h ago |
| YES Aston Villa | $11.3k | 89¢ | 17h ago |
| NO Tie | $18.1k | 89¢ | 17h ago |
| YES Aston Villa | $10.1k | 81¢ | 17h ago |
| NO Manchester City | $14.4k | 95¢ | 17h ago |
| YES Aston Villa | $24.5k | 71¢ | 17h ago |
| NO Manchester City | $19.9k | 93¢ | 17h ago |
| YES Aston Villa | $10.4k | 55¢ | 17h ago |