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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$22.0k

Spread: Raptors (-4.5)

BrotherObama bought Raptors at 54¢. The price gave that side a 54% chance. 40,800 shares, 2 fills, Oct 28, 19:38 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $22.0k on Raptors, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market resolved Raptors, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet BrotherObama bought Raptors for $22.0k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied 54% for the side they took. The market resolved Raptors. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 0 of 1 on graded bets, -49.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $22.0k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Raptors wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +46 pts
Raptors price · entry 54¢ · resolved Raptors
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 54¢ · $22.0k WHALE $22.0K @ 54¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)LOW BUY Raptors @ 53¢ $10.6k53% LaarsY14h agoExcluded
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)HIGH BUY Raptors @ 53¢ $803.4k
4.0× usual
53% googleplay14h agoExcluded
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)LOW BUY Raptors @ 53¢ $10.2k53% ferrariChampions202614h agoExcluded
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)LOW BUY Raptors @ 52¢ $45.0k52% 0xb4f9…c9a718h agoCalled
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)LOW BUY Raptors @ 51¢ $12.3k51% Zillahstone18h agoCalled