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What this means. A wallet put $131.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
$131.1k
SELL No @ 98.8¢ · 132,674 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet kingofthe5 took No (sell) for $131.1k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $131.1k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
98.8¢
Implied odds
1.2%
Size
$131.1k
Placed
Mar 24, 03:45 EDT
Market close
Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
kingofthe5
Tx
0xa7d91010…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+10.7 pts
expected 4.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -1 pts
No price · entry 98.8¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98.8¢ · $131.1k WHALE $131.1K @ 98.8¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $40.0k
2.1× usual
0% westminster202d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $32.0k0% manekineko202d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% ThanksGivingTurkey1001202d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
4.5× usual
0% tetrase202d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.5k0% TheMayor202d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $29.9k0% uycghj4203d agoexcluded