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What this means. A wallet put $13.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?excluded
$13.6k
BUY Yes @ 96.7¢ · 14,047 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet TealV took Yes (buy) for $13.6k at an average 96.7¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $13.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−2927American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
96.7¢
Implied odds
96.7%
Size
$13.6k
Placed
Feb 28, 19:03 EST
Market close
Feb 27, 19:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
TealV
Tx
0xa32feae9…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-9.7 pts
expected 3.6 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k100% Euan235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $83.5k100% borntoolate.eth235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $103.1k
3.6× usual
0% Malfunction.235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $40.0k
2.4× usual
0% Predictandbreathe235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k100% Malfunction.235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.1k100% HolyMoses7235d agoexcluded