← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on not Under, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.4 pts over 52 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
SELL Under @ 50¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet AV23IUa took Under (sell) for $10.0k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- May 21, 14:54 EDT
- Market close
- May 21, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- AV23IUa
- Tx
- 0xa2a803f7…
This wallet's graded record
29/52+0.4 pts
expected 28.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -50 ptsUnder price · entry 50¢ · resolved Under · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 50¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 50¢ | $36.3k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 50¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 50¢ | $38.3k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 51¢ | $42.4k | called |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 50¢ | $11.6k | called |