theboss2

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -41.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

-41.0 pts

Called / graded

0/1

Expected from price

0.4

Flagged volume

$236.7k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.2 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$66.0k

Last 30 days +$0 · $3.25M volume · 420 trades · since May 10, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$6,641

Open P&L · 6 positions

−$58.2k

Closed-position win rate

40%

45 closed

Wallet age · markets

167d

51 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	0	0.4	-41.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5	LOW BUY Over @ 29¢	$15.7k	29%	115d ago	excluded
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5	MED BUY Over @ 42¢	$30.1k	42%	128d ago	excluded
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5	LOW BUY Over @ 21¢	$21.9k	21%	129d ago	excluded
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5	LOW BUY Over @ 44¢	$27.8k	44%	130d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Knicks	LOW BUY Spurs @ 46¢	$29.2k	46%	135d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Knicks	LOW BUY Spurs @ 47¢	$23.0k	47%	137d ago	excluded
Thunder vs. Spurs	LOW BUY Thunder @ 41¢	$19.2k	41%	148d ago	missed
Thunder vs. Spurs	LOW BUY Thunder @ 46¢	$31.6k	46%	154d ago	excluded
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	LOW BUY Over @ 50¢	$38.3k	50%	155d ago	excluded

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5excluded

BUY Over @ 29¢$15.7k

LOW theboss2 · 115d ago

Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5excluded

BUY Over @ 42¢$30.1k

MED theboss2 · 128d ago

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5excluded

BUY Over @ 21¢$21.9k

LOW theboss2 · 129d ago

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5excluded

BUY Over @ 44¢$27.8k

LOW theboss2 · 130d ago

Spurs vs. Knicksexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 46¢$29.2k

LOW theboss2 · 135d ago

Spurs vs. Knicksexcluded

BUY Spurs @ 47¢$23.0k

LOW theboss2 · 137d ago

Thunder vs. Spursmissed

BUY Thunder @ 41¢$19.2k

LOW theboss2 · 148d ago

Thunder vs. Spursexcluded

BUY Thunder @ 46¢$31.6k

LOW theboss2 · 154d ago

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5excluded

BUY Over @ 50¢$38.3k

LOW theboss2 · 155d ago

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