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Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5excluded
What this means. A wallet put $21.9k on Over, at a price that gave it a 21% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.9k
BUY Over @ 21¢ · 104,378 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet theboss2 took Over (buy) for $21.9k at an average 21¢. At that price the market implied a 21% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 21¢ means
21%chance the market gave
+376American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 21¢
- Implied odds
- 21.0%
- As American odds
- +376 no vig
- Size
- $21.9k
- Placed
- Jun 16, 17:52 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 16, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- theboss2
- Tx
- 0x20401800…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-41.0 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +79 ptsOver price · entry 21¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Over @ 99¢ | $22.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Over @ 99¢ | $12.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Over @ 97.3¢ | $21.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Over @ 97.6¢ | $37.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Under @ 60¢ | $87.3k 3.3× usual |
excluded |