← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+2.3 pts over 28 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet ArmageddonRewardsBilly took Yes (buy) for $20.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Mar 04, 10:28 EST
- Market close
- Feb 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ArmageddonRewardsBilly
- Tx
- 0x98cb3ed4…
This wallet's graded record
13/28+2.3 pts
expected 12.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $55.4k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $41.5k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $45.1k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $19.9k | excluded |