Nobo

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$653No · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $1,761 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$653Yes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $455

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$233.3k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$3,819

Last 30 days +$0 · $2.66M volume · 1,354 trades · since Sep 02, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$3,819

Open P&L · 2 positions

−$0

Closed-position win rate

94%

290 closed

Wallet age · markets

782d

290 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$32.9k	0%	161d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$33.6k	100%	180d ago	excluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$33.5k	100%	185d ago	excluded
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$28.1k	100%	190d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢	$27.8k	100%	201d ago	excluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$27.8k	100%	206d ago	excluded
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$27.3k	100%	233d ago	excluded
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$22.3k	100%	258d ago	excluded

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$32.9k

LOW Nobo · 161d ago

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$33.6k

LOW Nobo · 180d ago

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$33.5k

LOW Nobo · 185d ago

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$28.1k

LOW Nobo · 190d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$27.8k

LOW Nobo · 201d ago

Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$27.8k

LOW Nobo · 206d ago

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$27.3k

LOW Nobo · 233d ago

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$22.3k

LOW Nobo · 258d ago

Share this record

<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xeb7456f7f5429912a6135caae264cc2d368efad6"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xeb7456f7f5429912a6135caae264cc2d368efad6.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>

JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xeb7456…