← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $29.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+6.5 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.6k
SELL Yes @ 98.5¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletEconomy
What happened
Wallet aff3 took Yes (sell) for $29.6k at an average 98.5¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $29.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.5¢
- Implied odds
- 1.5%
- Size
- $29.6k
- Placed
- Jan 23, 15:37 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aff3
- Tx
- 0x96467b2b…
This wallet's graded record
22/23+6.5 pts
expected 20.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -2 ptsYes price · entry 98.5¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $55.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $139.9k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |