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What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.4k
BUY No @ 99.4¢ · 10,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Politics
What happened
Wallet locuspm took No (buy) for $10.4k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.4k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−16567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.4¢
- Implied odds
- 99.4%
- Size
- $10.4k
- Placed
- Feb 05, 23:51 EST
- Market close
- Jan 25, 09:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- locuspm
- Tx
- 0x9552077f…
This wallet's graded record
0/5-4.4 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $35.2k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $87.1k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $29.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |