← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $135.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$135.5k
SELL No @ 58¢ · 233,575 shares
Size ≥ $100kEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet tyrant007 took No (sell) for $135.5k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $135.5k+2
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 42.0%
- As American odds
- +138 no vig
- Size
- $135.5k
- Placed
- Jul 15, 17:43 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tyrant007
- Tx
- 0x93aa8d7c…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-5.9 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -42 ptsNo price · entry 58¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $53.9k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 77¢ | $104.3k 4.7× usual |
called |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 82¢ | $35.0k 2.1× usual |
called |