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Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$40.8k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
tnmh bought Yes at 68¢. The price gave that side a 68% chance. 60,000 shares, Oct 29, 23:19 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $40.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet tnmh bought Yes for $40.8k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied 68% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $40.8k+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletPolitics
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−213American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.5 ptsYes price · entry 68¢ · now 68¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | LOW SELL No @ 31¢ | $22.5k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | LOW SELL Yes @ 66¢ | $13.2k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $10.1k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | LOW SELL No @ 33¢ | $11.1k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $50.2k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $11.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |