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Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$22.5k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
timetowander sold No at 31¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 69% chance. 72,657 shares, Oct 29, 23:41 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $22.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet timetowander sold No for $22.5k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied 69% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
This wallet is 3 of 3 on graded bets, +4.2 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.5 ptsNo price · entry 31¢ · now 32¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $40.8k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | LOW SELL Yes @ 66¢ | $13.2k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $10.1k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | LOW SELL No @ 33¢ | $11.1k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $50.2k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $11.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |