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What this means. A wallet put $11.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 61% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.9k
BUY Yes @ 61¢ · 19,529 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet Flaznorp took Yes (buy) for $11.9k at an average 61¢. At that price the market implied a 61% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 61¢ means
61%chance the market gave
−156American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 61¢
- Implied odds
- 61.0%
- As American odds
- −156 no vig
- Size
- $11.9k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 12:56 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 15:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Flaznorp
- Tx
- 0x90e0220b…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-27.5 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -61 ptsYes price · entry 61¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
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Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.0k | Excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | LOW BUY No @ 73¢ | $21.3k | Excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $20.9k | Missed |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | LOW BUY No @ 42¢ | $11.5k | Called |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $11.1k | Missed |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $41.1k | Missed |