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What this means. A wallet put $21.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 73% chance. The market resolved No, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.3k
BUY No @ 73¢ · 29,163 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took No (buy) for $21.3k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied a 73% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 73¢ means
73%chance the market gave
−270American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 73¢
- Implied odds
- 73.0%
- As American odds
- −270 no vig
- Size
- $21.3k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 16:04 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 15:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0x5854100d…
This wallet's graded record
2/4+4.7 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +27 ptsNo price · entry 73¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
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Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.0k | Excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $20.9k | Missed |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | LOW BUY No @ 42¢ | $11.5k | Called |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $11.9k | Missed |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $11.1k | Missed |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $41.1k | Missed |