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What this means. A wallet put $11.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.5k
BUY No @ 42¢ · 27,492 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet Jsram took No (buy) for $11.5k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+140American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 41.7%
- As American odds
- +140 no vig
- Size
- $11.5k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 14:05 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 15:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Jsram
- Tx
- 0x3d4dd604…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+47.3 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +58 ptsNo price · entry 42¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
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Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.0k | Excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | LOW BUY No @ 73¢ | $21.3k | Excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $20.9k | Missed |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $11.9k | Missed |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $11.1k | Missed |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28? | MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $41.1k | Missed |