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What this means. A wallet put $98.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US forces enter Iran by March 31?excluded
$98.9k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 99,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet 033033033 took No (buy) for $98.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $98.9k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$98.9k
Placed
Apr 01, 12:27 EDT
Market close
Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
033033033
Tx
0x8caaa0db…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $47.6k
2.4× usual
0% dube202d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $41.2k0% Trustinghorse202d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $249.8k
9.3× usual
0% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN202d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.9k0% yougotme202d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $97.4k
3.6× usual
0% Melody626203d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $48.8k
2.4× usual
0% EddyAncogld203d agoexcluded