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What this means. A wallet put $45.0k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.2 pts over 60 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$45.0k
BUY Argentina @ 75¢ · 60,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven wallet2.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Zzzz87 took Argentina (buy) for $45.0k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $45.0k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−300American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 75¢
- Implied odds
- 75.0%
- As American odds
- −300 no vig
- Size
- $45.0k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 07:08 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Zzzz87
- Tx
- 0x86c44848…
This wallet's graded record
36/60+0.2 pts
expected 35.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +25 ptsArgentina price · entry 75¢ · resolved Argentina
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $189.2k 11.9× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $26.2k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $10.0k | excluded |