← Wallets
−$2,305Yes · avg 28¢ → 3.5¢ · $328
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -40.2 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-40.2 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$43.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$47.3k
Last 30 days −$724 · $716.5k volume · 69 trades · since Jul 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$26.2k
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$20.7k
Closed-position win rate
33%
33 closed
Wallet age · markets
108d
42 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -40.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Cowboys vs. Giants | LOW SELL Giants @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 40¢ | $10.9k | missed |
 Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 84¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x86f6d4…