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What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 84% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advanceexcluded
$10.2k
BUY Argentina @ 84¢ · 12,103 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x86f6…8993 took Argentina (buy) for $10.2k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 84% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 84¢ means
84%chance the market gave
−525American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
84¢
Implied odds
84.0%
As American odds
−525 no vig
Size
$10.2k
Placed
Jul 11, 22:45 EDT
Market close
Jul 11, 21:00 EDT
Result
Argentina
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x86f6…8993
Tx
0xec0d1097…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-40.2 pts
expected 0.4 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $189.2k
11.9× usual
0% stockpicks104d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $22.1k0% 0x17d0…8449104d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $12.1k0% 0x86f6…8993104d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $26.2k0% LarryDaddy105d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $11.2k0% Zetalias105d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ $10.0k0% Anonymouskhan105d agoexcluded