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What this means. A wallet put $430.3k on San Francisco Giants, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$430.3k
BUY San Francisco Giants @ 48¢ · 902,314 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)6.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet mentionmarket took San Francisco Giants (buy) for $430.3k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved San Francisco Giants. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $430.3k+3
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+110American odds
$1.00paid per share if San Francisco Giants wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 47.7%
- As American odds
- +110 no vig
- Size
- $430.3k
- Placed
- Aug 27, 23:01 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 27, 21:45 EDT
- Result
- San Francisco Giants
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- mentionmarket
- Tx
- 0x82c8346e…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-9.7 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +52 ptsSan Francisco Giants price · entry 48¢ · resolved San Francisco Giants
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL San Francisco Giants @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY San Francisco Giants @ 99.8¢ | $20.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY San Francisco Giants @ 76¢ | $14.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY San Francisco Giants @ 45¢ | $76.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY San Francisco Giants @ 45¢ | $23.0k | excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Arizona Diamondbacks @ 51¢ | $535.9k 3.2× usual |
excluded |