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What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on not Arizona Wildcats, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.7k
SELL Arizona Wildcats @ 70¢ · 16,643 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet 966872 took Arizona Wildcats (sell) for $11.7k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved Arizona Wildcats, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $11.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 30.0%
- As American odds
- +233 no vig
- Size
- $11.7k
- Placed
- Mar 27, 02:29 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 28, 20:49 EDT
- Result
- Arizona Wildcats
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 966872
- Tx
- 0x8291e2d5…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-30.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -30 ptsArizona Wildcats price · entry 70¢ · resolved Arizona Wildcats · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | LOW SELL Arizona Wildcats @ 99.9¢ | $48.8k | excluded |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | LOW SELL Arizona Wildcats @ 99.9¢ | $43.7k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | LOW SELL Arizona Wildcats @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | MED SELL Arizona Wildcats @ 99.9¢ | $1.41M 5.6× usual |
excluded |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | LOW SELL Arizona Wildcats @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | MED BUY Arizona Wildcats @ 85¢ | $69.1k | excluded |