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+$399Yes · avg 2¢ → 11¢ · $487
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did +83.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+83.5 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$115.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±37.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$293.0k
Last 30 days +$374 · $8.55M volume · 12,839 trades · since Apr 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$563.6k
Open P&L · 112 positions
−$277.0k
Closed-position win rate
52%
252 closed
Wallet age · markets
908d
297 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.2 | +83.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 1.5¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 16¢ | $22.1k | called |
 Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | LOW SELL Arizona Wildcats @ 99.9¢ | $48.8k | excluded |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | LOW BUY Arizona Wildcats @ 70¢ | $34.1k | called |
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